Lucena – Sevilla B af Ochosiete

In my opinion, this match has few goals written all over the place.

We are in Segunda B, Group 4. Kick-off early Sunday @ 12.00. Game from the bottom of the table between Lucena and Sevilla Reserves.

Lucena-coach Serafin Gil will surely look for a better performance than the one from last week, where Lucena got thumped 6-0 by Cacereno. Gil has been in charge of Lucena since december 2014 and during his first 8 games at the club, Lucena only conceded 10 goals before the nightmare game last weekend.

Importantly, normal goalkeeper Javi Lopez is back after suspension – reserve keeper Pablo Varela was poor in his starting debut last week. Defensive VIP Rafa Santacruz is also back after being suspended vs. Cacereno, so I expect a homeside with controlled defence this time.

Offensively, Lucena is lacking fire power since topscorer Pepe Diaz is still nursing an injury and 2nd topscorer Pedro Beda left the team one month ago for Lealtad. Hard to see who wil score the goals for Lucena, who have just netted 22 times in 24 games.

Sevilla is also in BIG offensive crisis. Only Arroyo (20) have scored less goals than Sevillas 21, and 19 (!) of these have come at HOME, leaving Sevilla with just 2 goals in 12 away-games.

Both goals scored by topscorer Juan Muñoz, but Muñoz has been promoted to the Primera Division-team, which leaves Sevilla completely without offensive threats! 2nd topscorer Carlos Fernandez was injured last time, which leaves midfielder Antonio Cotan as the only squad player with more than 2 goals in the season.

Sevillas defence, however, is not that bad. 8 of their 10 defeats has been on 0-1 or 0-2 and tomorrows game will most likely be a nervous one with lots of fouls and a minimum of flow in the game.

I see excellent chances of few goals here.

Spain, Segunda Division B, Group 4
Value to 1,50.